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Svend Rasmussen

Optimisation of Production Under Uncertainty


The State-Contingent Approach
2011. 2011. viii, 81 S. 20 SW-Abb., 3 Tabellen. 235 mm
Verlag/Jahr: SPRINGER, BERLIN 2011
ISBN: 3-642-21685-4 (3642216854)
Neue ISBN: 978-3-642-21685-5 (9783642216855)

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The book provides a short review of the classical approach to planning and decision making under uncertainty. It further explains the concept of state-contingent goods, and it extends earlier work on the state-contingent approach to describing production under uncertainty to the problems involved in optimising production under uncertainty.
Preface.- 1 Introduction.- 2 Decision Theory Elements.- 3 Utility Function.- 4 State-Contingent Outcome and Preference.- 5 Preferences and Subjective Probabilities.- 6 Formulation of the Decision Problem.- 7 Connections Between Input and State-Contingent Output.- 8 Optimising Production Under Uncertainty.- 9 Summary and Conclusion.- References