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Micha Hirschinger emphasizes the importance of foresight on logistics
and institutions in particular for effective decision making as distinct
research in this context is limited. He applies a systematic and transferable
multi-method approach based on Delphi studies and fuzzy c-means cluster analysis
to develop profound scenarios for the future. He uses the relevance of
information-processing requirements to investigate whether centralization of
purchasing organizations increases functional efficiency. The author finally
shows how a sharing-economy business model transfer could help to overcome the
limited access to factor markets, especially trucks, at the base of the
pyramid.

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Introduction.- The Future of Logistics in Emerging Markets - Fuzzy Clustering Scenarios Grounded in Institutional and Factor-Market Rivalry Theory.- No Vehicle Means No Aid - A Paradigm Change For The Humanitarian Logistics Business Model.- How the Aerospace and Defence Industry in India Might Evolve Till 2020: An Institutional Perspective.- Does Centralization Lead to higher Efficiency? - An Industry-specific Analysis of Purchasing Functions.- Final Conclusion.

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Prior to his current position as consultant at a leading global management consulting firm, Micha Hirschinger worked as research associate at the Chair of Supply Chain Management at the FAU Erlangen-Nuremberg.

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